derisively-intellectual mets chatter

February 25, 2005

My New Site

Hey everybody. You've probably realized that I haven't been posting very frequently for the past few weeks. Well, the good news is that I've been working on a couple of new Mets projects that I think you're really going to like. I'm only going to tell you about one of them now; I'll tell you about the other one when it's finished and ready to go. I'll give you a clue, though: it involves the Mets and some of the best writers out there.

The first new project is a new blog called Amazin' Avenue. It's a member of the SportsBlogs family of sites, which is a great community of sites that is constantly expanding. The best part of the new blog is it offers everyone the ability to contribute to the dialog in ways you never could here at SaberMets.

SaberMets, in name only, will not see much action. Its spirit will live on at Amazin' Avenue, where most of my blogging will take place from now on. More good news: I'll actually be posting new content to Amazin' Avenue virtually every day! No more week-long (or more!) lulls in content anymore. So head on over there and check out the new digs. I will keep SaberMets around for the foreseeable future, as it provides a nice glimpse back at what came before.

Any questions, I can be reached at sabermets[at]gmail[dot]com, or AIM screenname SaberMets. See you all on the flip side.

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February 24, 2005

Spring Training Open Thread

This is an open thread for anyone to talk about Spring Training thus far. What is everyone's favorite story or moment of the first eight days of the real Spring?

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February 08, 2005

2005 Forecast: The Starting Rotation

BP's 2005 PECOTA projections for all Major League players are in, and the Mets starting rotation is a mixed bag.


                   ERA      IP    SO   BB   HR   VORP   VORP
Pedro Martinez    2.93   194.2   205   55   19   53.3   51.2
Tom Glavine       4.62   163.1    84   59   20   12.2   42.0
Kris Benson       4.50   152.1   102   51   18   13.6   15.8
Victor Zambrano   4.84   100.2    83   63   11    4.7    0.0
Steve Trachsel    4.74   152.0    85   58   20    9.7   25.8

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February 07, 2005

This Is Me Talking

Over the weekend we recorded the first of hopefully many conference calls for's "In The Studio" feature. Myself, along with Andrew from Chuck N Duck and Mike from The Metropolitans, were tossed some softball questions about the upcoming Mets season, and basically all said the same things.

It was fun, though, and I look forward to doing it again. You can hear the call directly by clicking this link, or just visit to click the link there. I haven't listened to it myself because I'm horrified by the sound of my own voice, but definitely go check it out. I'm open to critique, so please feel free to submit advice on how I should make less of a fool out of myself next time. Cheers!

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February 04, 2005


With the Mets currently projecting close to two million tickets sold by opening day, I thought I would point you all to this article by Aaron Gleeman back in May of 2004.

If you weren't already salivating at the thought of pitchers and catchers reporting in just under two weeks time, Aaron's breakdown of Carlos Beltran's consistent improvement in every important offensive measure should do the trick.

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February 03, 2005


This could have been the Mets. Of course, the O's are only paying $8.5 million this season for Sammy, who might hit .265/.350/.580 with 40 bombs in Baltimore. Oh well, better them than us.

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January 31, 2005

Bloggy McBloggerson

A couple of new Mets blogs have popped up that I figured I'd let you know about id you didn't already.

Brian Doyle has a new blog called Straight Flushing. He's been previewing the rest of the NL East, so go check it out.

Steve M also has a new blog called Simply Amazins. which definitely looks promising so far. Stop by and say "Hi!".

I am in the process of updating the Mets blog links on the right. If you know of a Mets blog that I have missed, please let me know. Just for the record, "Disabled List" is not meant to disparage those blogs, but merely to indicate those that are/were not updating regularly. I apologize if anyone thought otherwise and was unnecessarily offended. If I thought your blog was crap I wouldn't have linked to it in the first place.

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January 29, 2005

Mientkiewicz or Lee

The biggest complaint about trading Ian "The Blade" Bladergroen for Doug Mientkiewicz is that the Mets could have just signed Travis Lee, who is probably about 90% the player that Mientkiewicz is. He's a little worse defensively and a little worse offensively, but not much of either.

Bladergroen only has one solid offensive season under his belt, but he was the Mets #4 prospect (according to BA), and could very well have been the first-baseman of the future. Do you know who isn't going to be the first-baseman of the future? Craig Brazell. He has no range at first base and he has terrible plate discipline (98 BB in 2498 minor league AB, which is borderline criminal). Brazell will be, at best, a power lefty bat off the bench, and maybe a solid third-string first-baseman. At worst, he's minor-league roster fodder, maybe a throw-in for a later trade.

Brazell is a poor-man's Randall Simon, which is very poor indeed. Bladergroen is not a surefire major-leaguer, but he's already a better prospect than Brazell ever was. One great season at A-ball doesn't make a great player, but considering the fact that the Mets could have signed Lee for a couple million bucks and no prospects, I can understand why some people are upset.

If you try to tell me that Lee is just as good as Minky, I won't buy it. Minky has a good eye at the plate (339 BB in 2056 career ABs), and is one of the few best defensive first-baseman in baseball. I would probably buy:
Lee + Blade > Minky
but I guess that ship has sailed anyhow. Minky and Andres Galarraga will make a very nice platoon pair at first base, as Minky will benefit from days off against tough lefties, and the Big Cat can still hack it against the southpaws.

In other news, it appears as if Tyler Yates is going to miss the whole season with a tear in his rotator cuff. My feeling was that he was going to surprise a lot of people with his work out of the bullpen in 2005, but I guess we'll have to wait until 2006 to see that. It looks like the Mets are probably going to carry six or seven relievers, and here are my picks for that crew:


Of course, the Mets could do much better than Heredia. I would much rather see Blake McGinley or Heath Bell get a bullpen spot. Jae Seo and Matt Ginter is also a toss-up. Fortunato or Strickland could easily not make the list above, though Minaya had Strickland for a few weeks in Montreal before shipping him to the Mets a few years back, so hopefully he'll give him a shot.

Sammy Sosa appears to be on his way to the Orioles in exchange for Jerry Hairston Jr. and prospects. The Cubbies will also pick up something in the neighborhood of $10 million, which is a very nice neighborhood. I think Sosa will have a very nice year at Camden Yards. If healthy, I predict .270/.360/.550 with 40 homeruns.

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January 27, 2005 Love

The Mets get some much-deserved and long-awaited love at today. First, on Jayson Stark's Top-10 Most Improved Teams list, the Mets clock in at #1:
For 194 million bucks, you could buy 19 million pastrami sandwiches at the Stage Deli -- or Carlos Beltran, Pedro Martinez and Kris Benson. The Mets gave their frazzled fans something to chew on with the three most staggering free-agent contracts of the winter. It might not put them in the playoffs. But at least, it put them back on New York's radar screen.
Peter Gammons also heaps on the praise in his latest column. Most of the writing on is complete crap, but it's still fun to read nice things about your favorite team.

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Mets Fantasy Camp

If you haven't done so already, you should go read Eric Brown's blog. He just got finished spending five days at the Mets Fantasy Camp in Port St. Lucie, Florida, you know, the one they're always hocking on TV during Mets games. The blog really is a great chronicle of one man living out his dream. Stop by and say "Hi".

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what's this?

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Currently Reading:

Rob Bradford: Chasing Steinbrenner
Chasing Steinbrenner
Rob Bradford

Jeff Pearlman: The Bad Guys Won
The Bad Guys Won
Jeff Pearlman

Baseball Prospectus 2004
Baseball Prospectus 2004

Lawrence S. Ritter: The Glory of Their Times
The Glory of Their Times
Lawrence S. Ritter

On Deck:

Bill James: Whatever Happened to the Hall of Fame
Whatever Happened to the Hall of Fame
Bill James

Just Finished:

Jim Bouton: Ball Four
Ball Four
Jim Bouton

Pete Rose: My Prison Without Bars
My Prison Without Bars
Pete Rose




Slammin' Sammy at Shea (9)
Peter wrote: Stanton is on the Yankees...What th...[more]

Spring Training Open Thread (5)
John E wrote: I agree with the injury concerns an...[more]

This Is Me Talking (5)
a2d wrote: I think we all came off well. I was...[more]

Bloggy McBloggerson (2)
bronxmetfan wrote: What is going on with Ayer Soler (t...[more]

Mientkiewicz or Lee (8)
m2c2c2 wrote: This was my least favorite move of ...[more]










Goodbye To Some Old Baseball Ideas
Branch Rickey

Pitching And Defense
Voros McCracken

Pitching And Defense
Tom Tippett

The Sabermetric Manifesto
David Grabiner

Transaction Primer
Rob Neyer

Rule V Draft Explanation
Baseball America

... in progress ...

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