derisively-intellectual mets chatter

January 26, 2005

Minky and the Blade


According to The Post, the Mets have acquired Doug Mientkiewicz from the Boston Red Sox for promising A-ball first-baseman Ian Bladergroen. The Blade hit .342/.397/.595 in the Sally League before injuring his left wrist. He was the Mets #4 prospect according to Baseball America:
Background: Bladergroen passed up a scholarship from Nebraska to sign with the Mets as a draft-and-follow prior to the 2003 draft. A two-time junior college all-American, he led national juco players with 32 homers in 2003. He had a breakout first full season in 2004, but it ended early when he tore a ligament in his left wrist in July.

Strengths: Bladergroen has plus power, and because his swing keeps the bat in the zone for a long time, he also can hit for average. He uses the whole field and works counts well. One of the best defensive first basemen in the system, he's agile and has a big wingspan to nab high throws.

Weaknesses: Though Bladergoren has produced for average and power, his bat speed is not exceptional and could cause him problems at higher levels. His wrist injury is also a question mark, as he couldn't swing the bat during instructional league.

The Future: The Mets are anxiously awaiting Bladergroen's recovery. If he's fully healthy when spring training begins, he could hit his way to high Class A. Wrist injuries often take a while to heal, so he could need time to regain his power stroke.
I feel like the Mets gave up a lot, but Mientkiewicz is an outstanding fielder and a decent hitter with good plate discipline, and it's not like the Mets traded Lastings Milledge or Yusmeiro Petit. Still, though, I can't help but think that the Mets could have gotten it done for less.


Comments

They gave up an "A" ball player with potential to get a gold glove first baseman with average offensive skills. I make this trade for good reasons. The mets are in desperate need of a excellent defensive first baseman to support a yound infield. Doug M is a good veteran player and according to his past teammates, great in the clubhouse. This is a good move for the mets...

Posted by: aaron - January 26, 2005 at 01:27 PM EST

The Mets have won their championships with stellar defense and deep pitching. This is all a blessing in disguise.

Minky is a bit over-rated defensively, but this turn of events will free up $ for the Mets to build real middle relief between a very strong rotation and a solid back of the 'pen in Yates & Looper.

Posted by: bmc - January 26, 2005 at 01:42 PM EST

Doug never hit for power(and Shea won't help), but if he gets his OBP back up in the .370 range I like this trade. I agree they should have gotten it done for less though. Bladergoren's makeup and #s look promising, even if just at single-A...

Posted by: ian - January 26, 2005 at 04:21 PM EST

Why trade for Mienkiewicz? Mets would be better off with a platoon of Valent and Galarraga. Valent had a better fielding pct and ZR in 28 games last year than Mientkiewicz (yeah I know it's a small sample).

Also, if you take Valent's 2004 stats v. RHP and Galarraga's 3-year splits v. LHP and adjust them for 600 AB's (400 v. RHP w/ Valent and 200 v. LHP w/ Galarraga), you get a platoon with the following stats:

.284 batting avg, .350 OBP, and 28 HRs and you still have the Blade floating around in single A ball.

Posted by: MFS - January 26, 2005 at 05:07 PM EST

Valent had a .996 fielding percentage at 1B and a .889 ZR.

Posted by: MFS - January 26, 2005 at 05:08 PM EST

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think FP and ZR adequately measure a first baseman's handling of throws from the infield; aren't they primarily measures of his defense on batted balls? Mientkiewicz might, hypothetically, have a reputation as a great defender because he provides a solid target, stretches well, has good footwork around the bag, etc. I know Kazuo Matsui put up about 30 errors last season that really were due in equal part to Piazza; anything a foot off the bag went by him for an error on the infielder and an extra base.

Posted by: Anonymous - January 26, 2005 at 05:21 PM EST

You're probably right about ZR and FP. Piazza's ZR was terrible anyway. FP would obviously include errors on balls thrown to first but probably wouldn't adequately reflect a first baseman's stretching capabilities. Although anecdotally I remember Valent looking solid at 1B.

Regardless, Mets can always use Valent at 1B if we get the 2002/2004 Mientkiewicz instead of the 2001/2003 Mientkiewicz.

Posted by: MFS - January 26, 2005 at 05:56 PM EST

FP, ZR, and RF (Range Factor) do not measure a first-baseman's handling of throws; there is no metric that I have seen that does so. UZR is the best measure of a defender's range, and Mientkiewicz is #2 in the bigs (based on 2000-2003 data) at 17 UZR runs. Todd Helton is #1 with 20 UZR runs. 10 runs equals approximately one win prevented with the glove.

Posted by: Eric Simon - January 26, 2005 at 11:24 PM EST

I would like to disagree with many Met fans for a moment. Ian “Blade” Bladergroen was/is a single A player. These are the type of players we should be trading on those times we need to make a trade. That is part of the job of a minor league system. Do we know what Mr. “Blade” will be? No. But I can tell you that I find all the hysteria over trading him after a good half a season in single-A is little bit unfounded.

I also feel Mientkiewicz is a PERFECT fit for the type of team we are trying to create. He is professional, he is a fantastic glove, and is a line drive hitter (which by the way is what is needed at our beloved Shea Stadium). There are other means to get a younger left handed bat with pop that we will probably see unfold around the trading deadline. I also feel that Mientkiewicz is ideal to have for another reason. We have a 24 year old first baseman that can hit the cover off the ball (from the left side of the plate) but is defensively challenged. This is who we should be working with to carry 1st base beyond the time of Mr. Mientkiewicz (his name by the way is Craig Brazell). However, before this can happen, he needs to learn how to field the position. Doug throws right handed which is the same as Mr. Brazell. I would submit to have them work together in the spring. Send Craig down to a full season in AAA to work on what he has learned, and then work with him some more during September. Let him learn from one of the best how to improve at what he can do.

You know, I find it funny, that people want the Mets to bring up the kids, but if they don’t produce immediately, they’re not given the time to grow and mature. I remember what a young Ron Darling was like; I remember what a young Lenny Dykstra was like. Give them LOTS of time in the minors - don’t rush them up - and then let them make their mistakes and grow from them.

Posted by: John - January 28, 2005 at 10:01 PM EST

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