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January 10, 2005

HOLY FLURKING SHNIT!!





December 16, 2004

Pedro Claus Is Coming To Town


You better watch out, you better not cry...

At 11am this morning Pedro will be introduced as the newest member of the New York Mets. I'm going home for lunch early from work to watch the press conference because I'm a little kid and I'm positively giddy.

I will worry about his shoulder when it breaks down. Today I am reveling in the excitement that Pedro will bring to my favorite team. I've been wearing my #45 Red Sox t-shirt with pride, and I will soon have a matching Mets version.


December 13, 2004

Pedro A Done Deal?


Boston Dirt Dogs is reporting that Pedro to the Mets is a done deal. Sources indicate that the deal is for four years guaranteed for $50 million or $56 million, depending on who you ask. The kid in me is excited because Pedro is a premium player, a marquee player, and someone who immediately makes the Mets more interesting. The thinking fan in me is skeptical about giving him a fourth year guaranteed. That said, you can tip your cap to Omar Minaya (at least for now), because he went out and got the best free agent pitcher on the market, albeit for a year longer than he probably should have.

Incidentally, I would be much happier if it were $50 million and not $56 million, because it would mean that the Mets only went longer on years, not years and annual salary.

UPDATE: A few notes on Pedro before I hit the sack. For those of you who think he's fading out, here is how he did relative to the rest of the AL in 2004:

9th in ERA at 3.90
2nd in K/9 at 9.41 (Santana)
4th in Quality Start % (min. 10 QS) at 67% (Santana, Radke, Schilling)
4th in DERA (DIPS ERA) at 3.64 (Santana, Schilling, Hudson)
6th in IP at 217 (Buehrle, Santana, Schilling, Mulder, Radke)
3rd in BAA (Batting Average Against) at .238 (Santana, Lilly)

He's not the best pitcher in the league, but he's still one of the best.


July 29, 2004

Buy High, Sell Low


As we all clamor for the Mets to do the right thing, it's tough not to recall when they were always doing the wrong thing. Mets broadcaster Ted Robinson reminds us of the 2002 deadline deal that brought journeyman reliever Steve Reed from the Padres in exchange for outfielder Jason Bay, now hitting very well for the Pirates (Pittsburgh acquired Bay from San Diego last summer in the Brian Giles deal). As we gaze over an endless see of powerless outfield prospects, let us all remember Jason Bay.


July 28, 2004

Erickson Out, Spencer Suspended


Thanks to Avkash at the raindrops for the tip on this one. Ed Coleman of WFAN radio reports that Scott Erickson, who got lit up on Monday by the Expos, has been released by the Mets. It's about frickin' time.

Coleman also reports that Shane Spencer has been suspended by the Mets. Spencer followed up his trip to the disabled list after cutting his foot on glass at a bar last week by getting a DUI Monday night going 97 MPH in a 70 MPH zone. After the whole pizza incident in Spring Training, you would have thought Spencer would have gotten his act together. Good riddance.


May 09, 2004

Yates Down, Baldwin Up


I just tuned into the WB for the start of the Mets telecast, and Dave O'Brien announced that the Mets have sent Tyler Yates down to AAA Norfolk and have called up James Baldwin. Baldwin was 3-2 with a 2.90 ERA and a 24/5 K/BB ratio in 31 innings. He has given up three homeruns and has a WHIP of 1.26.

UPDATE: James Baldwin is actually the scheduled starter for tonight's (Monday) game in Arizona.


April 04, 2004

Reyes To DL, Bottalico Sent Packing


According to Mets.com, Jose Reyes will indeed begin the season on the disabled list. It is not clear how long he will be out for, though his hamstring will keep him out for at least the first week of the season.

Reyes' stint on the DL will allow the Mets to carry 12 pitchers, with Orber Moreno and Dan Wheeler coming north for the regular season, at least for the time being. When Reyes is reactivated, one reliever will be reassigned to AAA Norfolk. That leaves little room for journeyman Ricky Bottalico, who, despite a strong showing in Spring Training, was informed on Saturday that he had not made the team. Ricky took it like a man:
"I pitched well enough to make the team and I just didn't fit in. I wanted to prove that I was healthy and I did that."

Bottalico became expendable when the Mets decided to move Grant Roberts back to the bullpen. Had Roberts earned a spot in the starting rotation, Bottalico likely would have made the club.

"Basically what they said was that a day and a half ago I was on the team. But with all the things with Grant going to the pen, circumstances changed. I'm not upset, I just wish it happened earlier."
Bottalico shouldn't have a problem catching on as a middle reliever with another club.


February 08, 2004

Mets Ink Baldwin, Bottalico


According to Bob Klapisch of the Bergen Record, the Mets have signed pitchers James Baldwin and Ricky Bottalico to minor league deals. Mets GM Jim Duquette had the following to say on Saturday:
"We knew by the end [of the off-season] there'd be some guys we could sign at a discount, guys who had something to prove. That's what we were looking for."
James Baldwin is the kind of pitcher who can make the Scott Erickson signing look good. Baldwin, who will be 33 in July, has posted an ERA better than the league only twice in his career and only once since 1996. That was in 2000, when his 4.65 ERA bested the league's 5.17.

He is prone to the longball, giving up 1.37 HR/9 over the course of his career. His career 5.81 K/9 and 3.32 BB/9 are about league-average, so there's nothing much to shout about there. He has a career ERA+ of 92, which makes his 79-70 record that much more remarkable. By remarkable I mean remarkably lucky. If he somehow beats out Erickson, Aaron Heilman, and Jeremy Griffiths for the fifth starter spot, there is something terribly, terribly wrong in Metland.

Has it really come to this? Ricky F'in Bottalico? Bottalico signed a minor league deal with the Diamondbacks last season but was released after only two appearances. A closer earlier in his career, Bottalico saved 68 games in 1996-97 before his command went out the window. Not surprisingly, his ERA went along for the ride. After recording ERAs of 3.19 and 3.65, his ERA ballooned to 6.44 in 1998. From 1998 through 2000, Bottalico posted a K/BB ratio of 1.29, which is downright awful.

Both of these has-beens/never-will-bes have to be considered extreme longshots to make the Mets major league roster out of Spring Training. Unless one of them comes out and completely annihilates opposing batters, they will both be looking to catch on with another club come April.


February 05, 2004

Great Scott! Lisa Guerrero's Hot


The Mets have come to terms on a minor league deal with Scott Erickson, just two days after marrying MNF sideline reporter and latino sexpot Lisa Guerrero.
Once one of baseball's most durable pitchers, Erickson has missed two of the past three seasons because of injuries. He was out in 2001 after having Tommy John surgery on his right elbow and was sidelined last year after a shoulder operation.

Erickson is expected to be ready for spring training. The Mets are hoping he can compete for the fifth spot in the rotation...
This is a no-risk signing, as the Mets haven't promised Erickson anything but a shot at making the team. If he can stay healthy and avoid having his arm fall off again, he can be expected to pitch 200 innings of league average (or slightly worse) ball. Not too bad for a fifth starter making the league minimum.

Update: Erickson is apparently excited by the opportunity to pitch in New York.
"I wish spring training started tomorrow. I'm ready to go. I know a lot of the guys on the team, especially John (Franco) and Mike (Piazza). I know there's an opportunity for me here, and I'm hoping to make the most of my chance."
Franco, who has also undergone arm surgery with Dr. Lewis Yocum (he had Tommy John surgery, Erickson had labrum surgery), had this to say:
"I knew he had just gotten married; he was probably the last person I expected to hear from. I could tell from his voice how excited he was to join us. I know he's always wanted to pitch in New York. He's such a competitor, and if he's healthy, which he says he is, I know he'll help us."
Jim Duquette continued the quote parade:
"We were impressed with Scott at a workout last month in Arizona. We're happy to give him this opportunity to show that he has recovered from his injury problems over the last couple of years. We definitely feel that, if healthy, with his past success, it's a situation that could work out very well for both sides."

January 28, 2004

Mets and Zeile Make It Official


The Mets officially announced the signing of Todd "Veteran Presence" Zeile to a one-year, Major League contract worth $1 million guaranteed, with a possible $500,000 in plate appearance bonuses.
Zeile became the first player in major league history to collect a home run for 11 different teams when he cracked a three-run shot off Florida's Mark Redman on September 5th last season.
He is also the MLB career leader in homeruns by a player whose last name begins with "Z". That'll put butts in the seats. Zeile will bring his eclectic blend of passive leadership, experience, and "friend of Mike Piazza" attitude that this team has sorely missed these past two seasons.

Think about it: Zeile signs with the Mets, and the Mets go to the World Series in 2000 and contend for the post-season until the last week of 2001. He gets traded away, and they suffer two horrendous last-place finishes. Coincidence? I smell a new Mets renaissance.


Mets, Spencer Come To Terms


According to Newsday, the Mets have come to terms with free agent outfielder Shane Spencer on a minor-league deal worth a reported $500,000.
Spencer is expected to be a strong contender for playing time in rightfield because of his home-run prowess and solid defense. His acquisition will give the Mets five veteran rightfield options and incite additional speculation that Roger CedeƱo could be released.
In light of yesterday's move, this one seems to makes a lot more sense. Back in December, I talked a bit about platooning, and apparently Jim Duquette might have been reading. With Spencer sharing time in right field with newly-acquired Karim Garcia, the Mets could expect decent production from a position that has been an offensive and defensive black hole for a number of years.

Here's what the two players have done over the past three seasons against opposite-handed pitchers.

SHANE SPENCER VS LEFTIES (2001-2003)

 AB   AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS   HR  RBI
305  .282  .345  .456  .801   12   53



KARIM GARCIA VS RIGHTIES (2001-2003)

 AB   AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS   HR  RBI
360  .297  .327  .528  .855   24   69


Together, they make a pretty decent player. The sample sizes aren't huge, but comprise a total of about a half of a season for each player, which is not insignificant. Given a full season of left/right platooning, I don't think it's unreasonable to expect a .275 hitter with 25 homeruns and 85 RBI. All for the grand total of $1.3 million dollars.

It may be presumptuous on my part to suggest that a strict platoon for these two players is what Mets management has in mind. If that's what it turns out to be, though, I consider it a huge step in the right direction (after several bungled mis-steps in the wrong direction), and represents the kind of forward-thinking that you might expect from other, seemingly-more-enlightened organizations.


January 22, 2004

Ben Baumer, Mets Statistical Analyst


As many of you know, the Mets have been quietly looking to employ a statistical analyst, similar to the role Bill James serves with the Red Sox. The blogging community threw its support into David Pinto's corner (of the incomparable Baseball Musings), but the Mets decided to go with the little-known Ben Baumer.

His website was taken offline shortly after the announcement was made. However, thanks to the magic of Google's cached pages, you can still view his website in its entirety.

  • Home Page
  • School
  • Simpsons
  • Personal
  • Pictures
  • Links
  • Frank Philbrick Fan Club
  • Resume
  • Smooth Operators

    You can also read a note from Ben regarding his new job. Note that none of the links above contain any images, as Google doesn't cache those.

    If anyone has more information or links please let me know and I will post them here.


    January 05, 2004

    A Closer Look


    Ah, the closer. Pretty standard, really. Usually a fireballer, summoned from the bowels of the bullpen to shut down the opposing team's hitters for one inning. Three outs is all he's asked to record. If he does so, and he does so well, he will be richly rewarded with praise, fortune, etc. Should he ever falter in this task, however, he shall rue the day. A fickle bunch, these closers. Untouchable one day, uncomfortable the next. If you can't stand the heat, stay out of the kitchen, they say.

    And so it was, the Mets, having pawned off "beleaguered" closer Armando Benitez last season and spent much of this offseason searching for his replacement, even if he were to be an interim one. You heard the names tossed around: Billy Koch, Ugeth Urbina, Keith Foulke.

    Take a look at the following career lines:

    CAREER

                ERA+   K/9    BB/9   HR/9   SV%
    Player A    113    5.66   3.56   0.71   69%
    Player B    144   11.77   4.84   1.03   85%


    Even though Player B is more prone to the gopher ball, he is clearly the better closer. You must be saying to yourself, "Self? It's brutally obvious that Player A is the closer we dumped last year and Player B is the next big thing, our closer of the present, a player I would gladly give a two-year, $6.5 million deal with a team option for a third year at $5 million with a $250k buyout. Why, even somebody with as many textbook-case neurological disorders such as myself can tell that".

    I'm sure you've already seen through my thinly-veiled rhetoric to come to the conclusion that Player A is new Met Braden Looper while Player B is Met castoff and new Marlins closer Armando Benitez.

    Benitez had clearly worn out his welcome in New York. He will probably do for Florida what he has done for the Mets these past few seasons. Namely, save the majority of his games, strike out a batter-per-inning, and give up a few too many homeruns, particularly in important situations. That, if anything, is what has haunted Benitez throughout his career. Even before he was traded to the Mets (in what was one of the unheralded acts of ingenuity on Steve Phillips part, by netting Benitez and then-speedster Roger Cedeno for Todd Hundley), Benitez had post-season issues with the Orioles.

    The two biggest games he blew, for me at least, were Game 6 of the NLCS in 1999 against the Braves and Game 1 of the World Series in 2000 against the Yankees. That's not to say there weren't other memorable heartaches, just that those hurt the most.

    The big picture, much to the dismay of Benitez-haters, is that he has actually been one of the best closers in baseball over the past five seasons, and will continue to be one.

    Looper is a fresh start, though. He's a former first-round pick of the Cardinals, and the Mets are obviously hoping that pitching coach Rick Peterson can do for him what he's done for Billy Koch and Keith Foulke these past two seasons. Unlike Benitez, Looper doesn't give up a lot of home runs, and actually does a very good job of keeping the ball on the ground.

    CAREER GB/FB RATIO

    Looper     1.91
    Benitez    0.67


    With the Mets now-solid up-the-middle defense, this will be a welcome addition. At the very least, the Mets are not paying too much over too long, and Looper will keep the spot warm for one of the Mets potential future closers.


    A Closer Look


    Ah, the closer. Pretty standard, really. Usually a fireballer, summoned from the bowels of the bullpen to shut down the opposing team's hitters for one inning. Three outs is all he's asked to record. If he does so, and he does so well, he will be richly rewarded with praise, fortune, etc. Should he ever falter in this task, however, he shall rue the day. A fickle bunch, these closers. Untouchable one day, uncomfortable the next. If you can't stand the heat, stay out of the kitchen, they say.

    And so it was, the Mets, having pawned off "beleaguered" closer Armando Benitez last season and spent much of this offseason searching for his replacement, even if he were to be an interim one. You heard the names tossed around: Billy Koch, Ugeth Urbina, Keith Foulke.

    Take a look at the following career lines:

    CAREER

                ERA+   K/9    BB/9   HR/9   SV%
    Player A    113    5.66   3.56   0.71   69%
    Player B    144   11.77   4.84   1.03   85%


    Even though Player B is more prone to the gopher ball, he is clearly the better closer. You must be saying to yourself, "Self? It's brutally obvious that Player A is the closer we dumped last year and Player B is the next big thing, our closer of the present, a player I would gladly give a two-year, $6.5 million deal with a team option for a third year at $5 million with a $250k buyout. Why, even somebody with as many textbook-case neurological disorders such as myself can tell that".

    I'm sure you've already seen through my thinly-veiled rhetoric to come to the conclusion that Player A is new Met Braden Looper while Player B is Met castoff and new Marlins closer Armando Benitez.

    Benitez had clearly worn out his welcome in New York. He will probably do for Florida what he has done for the Mets these past few seasons. Namely, save the majority of his games, strike out a batter-per-inning, and give up a few too many homeruns, particularly in important situations. That, if anything, is what has haunted Benitez throughout his career. Even before he was traded to the Mets (in what was one of the unheralded acts of ingenuity on Steve Phillips part, by netting Benitez and then-speedster Roger Cedeno for Todd Hundley), Benitez had post-season issues with the Orioles.

    The two biggest games he blew, for me at least, were Game 6 of the NLCS in 1999 against the Braves and Game 1 of the World Series in 2000 against the Yankees. That's not to say there weren't other memorable heartaches, just that those hurt the most.

    The big picture, much to the dismay of Benitez-haters, is that he has actually been one of the best closers in baseball over the past five seasons, and will continue to be one.

    Looper is a fresh start, though. He's a former first-round pick of the Cardinals, and the Mets are obviously hoping that pitching coach Rick Peterson can do for him what he's done for Billy Koch and Keith Foulke these past two seasons. Unlike Benitez, Looper doesn't give up a lot of home runs, and actually does a very good job of keeping the ball on the ground.

    CAREER GB/FB RATIO

    Looper     1.91
    Benitez    0.67


    With the Mets now-solid up-the-middle defense, this will be a welcome addition. At the very least, the Mets are not paying too much over too long, and Looper will keep the spot warm for one of the Mets potential future closers.


    December 16, 2003

    Rule 5 Grab Bag


    Every winter, Major League Baseball holds its annual Rule 5 Draft, where teams have an opportunity to select players from other organizations who are left unprotected from their respective 40-man rosters. The rules governing a player drafted in this manner are as follows:

    * The drafting team pays the plundered team $50,000 for a player drafted
    * Any player drafted must remain on the drafting team's major league club all season
    * If the team fails to do this, they must offer the player back to his original team for $25,000

    The last two rules only apply to the Major League Phase of the draft. There is also a minor league phase which consists of a draft of Triple-A players and a subsequent draft of Double-A players.

    Not every team has to participate in the drafting, but every team is allowed to be drafted from. The biggest success story in the recent history of the draft is Jay Gibbons of the Orioles, who has hit 51 homeruns and driven in 169 runs over the past two seasons.

    The Mets were more active than most teams this year, drafting a total of four players while surrendering two players. Here is a quick analysis of the more prominent picks:

    Mets Got

    Major League Draft: Round 1 - Frank Brooks, LHP, Pittsburgh
    In a pre-arranged deal, the Mets traded Brooks to Oakland for a player to be named later. This has to be someone from Oakland's 40-man roster. There's a good chance it might be a former Met, either Marco Scutaro or Matt Watson, who were both claimed by the A's after the season ended.

    Brooks was originally a starter in the Phillies organization. He was drafted out of Florida State in the 13th round in 1999. He was moved to the bullpen in 2002, and has done a pretty good job there. In 157.1 innings has a reliever, Brooks has struck out 153 batters while walking 63. His homerun rate was terrific, giving up only 11 over that span, good for a 0.63 HR/9 rate. He's already 25, but he seems like the kind of bargain-basement guy Billy Beane likes coming out of the bullpen. He could provide league-average relief for league-minimum dollars.

    Here's hoping the PTBNL is Marco Scutaro.

    Triple-A Draft: Round 1 - Eric Valent, OF, Cincinnati
    Another guy who was originally drafted by the Phillies, Valent was a 1st round pick in 1998 out of UCLA. He's 26 already, and it'd be a stretch to call him a prospect at this point. He posted a pitiful .308 OBP in 2003 for Scranton/Wilkes-Barre of the International League (AAA) to go along with a not-so-hot .367 SLG. He showed some pop in the lower-level minor leagues, hitting 20, 22, and 21 homers from 1999-2001. It looks like AAA pitching has done him in, as he's really fallen off a cliff in the last two seasons. He has 47 games of Major League experience, notching a razor-thin .403 OPS. Jim Duquette says that Valent will compete for a bench spot in Spring Training. He can't possibly mean with the big club.

    Additional Picks
    Lance Caraccioli, LHP, Cleveland
    Bryan Edwards, RHP, Milwaukee

    Mets Lost

    Major League Draft: Round 1 - David Mattox, RHP, Cincinnati
    Mattox was drafted by the Mets out of Anderson College. An 11th round pick in 2001, Mattox is 23 and pitched last season for Binghamton of the Eastern League (AA). Baseball America said the following regarding his selection:

    A converted infielder in college, Mattox didn't have much mileage on his arm when the Mets originally drafted him out of Anderson (S.C.) College in the 11th round in 2001. He looks like a polished pitcher, though, as he operates with four quality pitches, including a low-90s fastball and a plus changeup, and command. "His arm works good, he has a good delivery and four pitches," Mets scouting director Jack Bowen said. "On the right night, he has four average to above major league pitches and an outstanding change."

    He doesn't give up many homeruns (7 in 113.1 innings last year). His K/9 rate is good (6.83), and is K/BB is pretty good (2.15). He was dominant at times in the lower minors and has always done a good job keeping the ball in the park, but it'll be a tough jump for him from AA to the big show. The Reds will certainly give him a shot, but he's in a tough division there, so I don't expect him to fair very well.

    Major League Draft: Round 1 - Lenny DiNardo, LHP, Boston
    This one stings a bit. DiNardo is a bit of a queer egg. He was actually drafted by the Red Sox out of Stetson University in the 3rd round of the 2001 draft. He allegedly used to hit 90 whilst in college, though his fastball couldn't touch 90 nowadays if it were driving a Porsche. Baseball America had this to say:

    DiNardo's impressive AFL campaign certainly didn't hurt his chances of being selected this year. While he allowed 22 hits in 18 innings, he mowed down hitters by keeping them off balance and he struck out 27 and walked just three. He faces a significant challenge in sticking on the Red Sox roster, however, because his fastball is timed at just 83-87 mph with good cutting movement. DiNardo touched 90 mph regularly in college, but scouts believe he became so reliant upon his cutter that it cost him velocity and arm strength.

    He has good control and somehow manages to strike guys out. He has a career minor league K/BB rate of 2.72 and a K/9 of 9.34 to go with a ridiculous 0.24 HR/9 ratio. He's the kind of guy a smart organization would pick up, but he is a good bet to be coming back to the Mets sometime this season. With the Red Sox in the thick of a pennant race, it may be difficult to keep DiNardo on the Major League roster all season.

    Additional Picks
    Ender Chavez, OF, Montreal
    John Wilson, C, Montreal


    October 26, 2003

    No-mar Minaya


    Evidently, Omar Minaya was not in the cards. A number of sources, including MLB.com, indicate that Mr. Minaya declined the Mets' offer and will instead toil away in Montreal, San Juan, Purgatory, Seattle, or some other such non-descript locale. All the best to Omar.

    I would expect (read: plead) that the Rick Peterson negotiations are wrapped up and announced sometime soon, so he can get to work picking up the pieces of Tom Glavine's career and Aaron Heilman's potential. Good luck to him, he has his work cut out for him.


    October 01, 2003

    First Ruhle of Pitching


    Vern Ruhle was given his walking papers by the Mets today. For P.C. reasons, he was actually "reassigned" within the organization, but he's as good as gone. Possible replacements are anybody's guess (Rick Waits, Randy Niemann, Johnny Inevitablefailure). The Duke said that he and Artimus Howe were in agreement on the move. By agreement, I would imagine the conversation went something like this:

    The Duke: Tommy thinks we should dump Vern. Your thoughts?
    Artimus: *stupid grin*
    The Duke: I'm glad we're in agreement

    For the record, Tom Glavine is playing the good soldier, saying, "I can't put my finger on anything. I had a good relationship."

    Ruhle's successes this season include:

  • Showing that Jae Seo is a promising component of the Mets rotation
  • Convincing Senator Al to injure himself and lose some weight
  • Getting the most out of Steve Trachsel
  • Keeping alive the long-standing Mets tradition of fugly pitching coaches (Hough, Robson, Apodaca)

    Ruhle's Failures include:

  • Not convincing Tommy Glavine to pitch for us the way he used to pitch against us
  • Aaron Heilman not showing any ability to succeed at the major league level
  • Ditto Jeremy Griffiths, Mike Bascik, Pat Strange



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