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September 10, 2004

Heyman On Crack


Here we go again. It's bad enough when rag-toters like Jon Heyman are bashing the Mets. It's far worse when they go around trying to fix the Mets.

In his latest installment, he suggests the Mets would be interested in Devil Rays' manager Lou Piniella. Fine, I'll bite. The Mets failed to land Sweet Lou two years ago when the Mariners made him available, mostly because the trade cost was to high. They wound up signing Art Howe and Piniella went to Tampa in exchange for Randy Winn. Lou would be a good kick in the pants for the Mets, so I'll endorse his recruitment.

The problem, of course, is the cost, and that problem is two-fold. Firstly, the Mets would have to eat the remaining two years on Howe's deal, plus pay top-dollar for Piniella. Beyond that, Tampa will surely demand a prospect or two. Who does Heyman suggest the Mets offer?
Piniella engineered his trade out of Seattle two years ago under the pretense of going home and probably isn't inclined to publicly get the ball rolling again. It's a delicate situation for Tampa, too, which has written its advertising campaign around its lone star (its manager) and would surely insist on a haul. In keeping with Tampa's desire to employ the teen-aged, we suggest offering pitcher Yusmeiro Petit and outfielder Lastings Milledge, both 19.
Emphasis is mine. So is the vomit in my mouth. Get f!@#king real, Heyman. And who's the "WE" that Heyman insists on throwing under the bus along with himself?

Mets try to make it two-in-a-row tonight as they host the Phillies at home. Go Phils!


May 24, 2004

Mets No No-No Info


Mark Simon of ESPN Research has his daily "Baseball Tonight Extra" column today featuring Mets no-hitter near misses. If you don't already, you should definitely check his column out regularly. The hosts of BBTN may be utterly useless and unwatchable, but Mark and the rest of the research department are top notch.

Mets.com also features a list of the 27 one-hitters in Mets history.


May 12, 2004

A Letter From Jeff Pearlman


Jeff Pearlman, author of The Bad Guys Won, has asked that I post the following memo from him RE: factual errors in the book.
Mets Fans:

It's me—Jeff Pearlman, author of The Bad Guys Won about the '86 Mets. Have a favor. Book has been out for two weeks (good reviews and good sales, I might add) and I have a favor. For anyone reading it and/or anyone who has read it or plans on reading it, I'd love to be made aware of any factiual screw-ups found. Three relatively small ones have been brought to my attention thus far. It's very important, because things can be altered in the paperback.

Anyhow, I can be e-mailed at sedrictony@yahoo.com. Help, as always, hugely appreciated. Also dig good/big feedback.

Thanks.

Jeff Pearlman
sedrictony@yahoo.com
www.thebadguyswon.com

May 03, 2004

More Anti-Mets Sentiment


Lawrence Rocca, The Star Ledger's answer to Jon Heyman and Friends, wrote a touching piece entitled "Mets are robbing their fans of quality baseball". I'll let you read it yourself, as it's nigh 500 words about how the Mets aren't as good as the Yankees, etc. It's shabby journalism, with numerous loaded statements and overexaggerations. Here's one of my favorites:
One good faith effort probably would have fooled Mets fans this winter, just one.

[...]

They have repeatedly passed on Alfonso Soriano, who could have played second base until Jose Reyes returned and then moved to right field, where the Mets have Whiz Kids Karim Garcia and Shane Spencer, who should have been released for their spring training fight with the pizza delivery boy but were not purely for budgetary reasons.
As of today, Garcia and Spencer have combined to hit .320/.358/.503 with five homeruns while Yankee corner outfielders Gary Sheffield and Hideki Matsui are hitting .289/.400/.422 with four homeruns. Of course, the Yankee outfielders are making $28 million dollars this year. The Mets? $1.5 million. Maybe the stats won't look like this in September, but it's pretty interesting, even a month into the season.


March 05, 2004

The Baker, The Butcher...


Jim Baker, normally one of my favorite columnists at ESPN's premium service ESPN Insider, has disappointed me today. Lee Jenkins' wrote an article in today's New York Times about Karim Garcia and Shane Spencer coming to the Mets, and how GM Jim Duquette hoped that their winning attitude might rub off on some of the Mets younger players.

In response, Baker tries to insinuate that the Mets somehow believe that these acquisitions will pass their "winning ways" onto their club. ESPN Insider is a pay service, but here is an excerpt:
There's an article in the New York Times today that says the Mets hope that the winning ways of a couple of former Yankees -- Shane Spencer and Karim Garcia -- "rubs off" on their new team.

I will bet you that somewhere in this great land of ours, a doctor is still using leaches to bleed bad "humors" out of patients.

These two motives are not unrelated.

Shane Spencer hasn't enjoyed much success since leaving the Yankees. The notion that someone coming from a successful program has some kind of mojo about them is remarkably silly. Mets general manager Jim Duquette told Lee Jenkins of the New York Times, "When you look at the profile of players, that was one of our criteria -- that they had a degree of success. It was high on our list. Those guys we got bring the attitude, demeanor and atmosphere of winning." I don't know what the exact dollar value of the Mets is right now, but it was $454 million in 2001. I find it somewhat disturbing that the man entrusted with piecing together the on-field performance component of this nine-figure operation is engaging in such primitive thinking.
Again, I typically enjoy Baker's writing, but this article is kind of misguided. I read Lee Jenkins' article, and I think Baker is making something out of nothing, perhaps in an effort to polarize his readers (thanks Mike!). Jim Duquette never implied that Karim Garcia made the Yankees a winner, nor do I think he believes that players become winners through the osmosis of other players who have experienced winning.

The idea is that the Mets have a lot of young players on the club and in camp, and the notion of bringing people in who have experienced success at this level is not without merit. I don’t subscribe to the “proven veteran� theory, insofar as I would rather have talent and inexperience than futility and experience. That said, the experience and excitement of success is certainly perceivable, and is also infectious, and I think that it can have a positive effect on the Mets younger players, if only to encourage them and motivate them to excel beyond their own expectations.

I find it hard to believe that if the Duke really thought this way he would still be GM of the Mets. Baker should stick to his normally great work, and leave the claptrap responses to the likes of Jayson Stark.


February 29, 2004

Bloggers Get Some Ink


Thanks to Peter Abraham of The Journal News, blogging may become more recognized as a legitimate form of media. In his article today, Peter features interviews and quotes from a number of Mets and Yankees bloggers, including Mike from East Coast Agony, Stephen from The Eddie Kranepool Society, Kaley from Flushing Local, the soon-to-be-divorced Norm from The Shea Hot Corner, as well as Vinny and Scott from Yankees, Mets, and the Rest.

If you haven't done so already, chck out their blogs, as they each bring something unique and extraordinary to our blogging community.

If you're new to this site, allow me to introduce myself. My name is Eric Simon, I'm 25, and I live and work in New Jersey. I've been a Mets fan for as long as I can remember, and a suffering one for just as long. If you're reading this, you probably already know that I'm very passionate about baseball and the Mets, as I'm sure you are as well, though perhaps your passion is for another team. It is this passion that drives me to know all I can about the game, the players, the numbers.

I started this blog for my own amusement, mainly to vent and wax analytical about the Mets, and mostly to be read by my friends. The fact that other actual real people like yourself take the time out of their day to read what I have to say is astonishing to me, and very gratifying.

Having said that, if anyone has any questions about the Mets, baseball, or anything else, or would like to see some topic covered in detail here, please feel free to drop me a line.

Thanks for stopping by, and happy reading.


February 23, 2004

Jon Heyman Can Kiss My Ass


Spring Training is underway in Port St. Lucie, FL, yet all Jon Heyman can think to write about is how the Mets "missed out" on Alex Rodriguez. Mike Piazza is in camp, is in great shape, and is actually excited about taking grounders at first base, as Jon Heyman sits in his cubicle dreaming up new ways to "stick it to the Mets". Well, Jon Heyman can kiss my ass.

You'll have to excuse my unpleasantries, but it's been a week since "the trade", not to mention three years since the Mets elected not to offer Rodriguez a contract, and certain "sportswriters" (note the quotes) continue to mercilessly beat the same dead horse. If you haven't read Mr. Heyman's latest reviling vituperation, set your reading level to "dim".

Every local paper has their own tabloid sports columnist, and it just so happens that they're all Yankee fans. They all go to great lengths to point out the Mets recent failures with glee, allthewhile sucking up to the Empire and leaving me wondering why I continue to waste my time reading their tripe.

In this particular article, Heyman reminds us why the Mets were, are, and always will be terrible.
The Mets' decision not to try for Alex Rodriguez when he was a free agent after the 2000 season has haunted them for three years and could haunt them for seven more.
Actually, most of us are all-too-happy to put the Alex Rodriguez saga behind us, and then some useless scribe makes us wonder how we talked outselves out of gouging our eyes out to avoid reading any more of their drivel. I guess I can only speak for myself, but I think the majority of Mets fans are over Rodriguez, are genuinely excited about the Mets and the direction they are going in terms of organizational philosophy and player development, and fully expect the Mets to field a playoff-contending team as soon as 2005.

He continues hemmorhaging excrement:
Mets owner Fred Wilpon said this past week that when the price "escalated to $252 million, we were out of it." But actually, the Mets pulled out way before the numbers got stratospheric. Maybe A-Rod was going to go for the money all along, but the Mets erred by not making a reasonable offer. And they're still paying for that error.
After going to the World Series in 2000, many forget that the Mets were in playoff contention until the last week of the season in 2001. If the Mets had signed Rodriguez, there's no telling where the team would have gone from there.

There was still a huge rift in ownership between Fred Wilpon and former co-owner Nelson Doubleday, and the organizational philosophy (i.e signing/trading for big-ticket players) was still in place. Even with Rodriguez, the Mets could still very well have fallen apart, and could be in a very similar position as they find themselves today, with back-to-back last place finishes, and potentially saddled with a $200 million contract.

Blah, blah, blah...
They compounded things by spending some of that money on the dreadful quartet of Mo Vaughn, Roberto Alomar, Jeromy Burnitz and Roger Cedeño. Cedeño is all that's left, and he'll probably be released this spring. Meanwhile, Rodriguez now will work eight miles to the north, in the Bronx.
Signing Rodriguez would not have precluded the Mets from acquiring any of the players Heyman mentions. They were all huge disappointments, there's no question about that. However, Mo Vaughn was acquired for Kevin Appier, who had three years and some $30 million left on his contract. He had one decent year with Anaheim, and then completely fell apart, was released by the Angels, and then signed with Kansas City for something around the league minimum.

When the Mets traded for Roberto Alomar after the 2001 season, everyone and their mother thought the Mets flat-out robbed Cleveland. He was 4th in MVP voting in 2001, had a 149 OPS+, drove in 100 runs, stole 30 bases, had a .415 OBP, won another gold glove, and so on and so forth. In exchange for arguably the best player in the American League that year, the Mets gave up Matt Lawton, top prospect Alex Escobar, a sack of bats, a bag of balls, and a jock strap. Clearly it didn't work out, but that looked like a steal.

Roger Cedeno hit .293 with 55 stolen bases before signing with the Mets, and Jeromy Burnitz had averaged 33 homers, 83 walks, and an OPS+ of 124 over the previous five seasons. Even the clairvoyance of Jon Heyman couldn't have predicted that both would completely fall off a cliff.

Not only that, but Shea Stadium is actually 9.8 miles from Yankee Stadium, not 8 miles as Heyman claims (source: Yahoo! Maps).

According to Heyman, Rodriguez might have offered the Mets a hometown discount:
Friends say Rodriguez even suggested shortly after going to Texas that he'd have come home to be a Met for "60 cents on the dollar," which translates to $151.2 million.
I don't believe for a minute that super-agent Scott Boras would have let the #1 free agent in the history of baseball (see Jon, I can pile on the hyperbole too) take a dime less than the best offer on the table. Boras, who rolled into the 2000 Winter Meetings with his 80-page A-Rod manifesto in tow, would have sooner skied the icy slopes of Hell before he let his client accept an inferior deal.

And the final turtle-head shakes loose:
We know Rodriguez was willing to sacrifice his coveted shortstop position to come home to the Yankees, so it isn't hard to believe he'd have come for less than $252 million three years ago. Exactly how much less, we'll never know. What we do know is that this was the biggest mistake in Mets history.
I find it difficult to believe that NOT signing someone to a 10-year, $200 million contract is the worst mistake any team has ever made. Even with Rodriguez, there's still a good chance the Mets would have fallen apart and ended up in last place, a-la the Texas Rangers. The Rangers DID sign Rodriguez and they DID end up in last place three straight years. It's safe to say that signing Rodriguez was a colossal mistake on their part. Is that to say that not signing him would have been an even bigger mistake?

Surely trading away Nolan Ryan, Hall-of-Famer and one of the five-or-ten best pitchers of the past forty years, for basically Jim Fregosi, who played in 146 mostly unmemorable games over two seasons for the Mets, should be considered a bigger mistake than not signing Alex Rodriguez to a ridiculous contract? I'm sure if I sat down for a few minutes I could think of a few more (feel free to post them in the comments).

So to the Jon Heyman's, Joel Sherman's, and Bob Klapisch's of the world, spare me your anti-Met pro-Yankee rhetoric, and give me a call when you write something that I might actually consider picking up my dog's sh*t with.


February 09, 2004

Pinch Me


I have no idea how I missed this, but thanks to Avkash at The Raindrops and Jeremy at Jeremy Heit's Blog for bringing it to my attention.

Mark Hale of the New York Post has written a refreshing article about Mike Cameron and what his defensive contributions will bring to the Mets. Now, many a sportswriter have written a thing or two about defense. Unfortunately, many a sportswriter have also written a thing or two about how good Derek Jeter is with the glove. Do you see where I'm going with this?

Much of today's baseball journalism relies much more on coverage than on analysis, which is fine for your average fan. The thinking fan, however, is less interested in regurgitated quotations and simple metrics (i.e. batting average and RBI) than the average fan. That's not to say that one is better than the other, but that sabermetrically-inclined individuals like myself yearn for more than the average newspaper article or Joe Morgan commentary can give us.

Thankfully, there is an abundance of great websites dedicated to such studies, helping to further the understanding of baseball. For a while, sabermetrics had its niche in old Bill James Abstracts, Rob Neyer columns, and websites like Baseball Primer and Baseball Prospectus.

Then, a number of mainstream writers at ESPN.com began mixing sabermetric staples into their articles and broadcasts. Most notably, Peter Gammons and Tim Kurkjian. Of course, some people still don't get it.

Despite the enlightenment of some folks at ESPN, local sportswriters, at least in the New York area, have remained old-school in their expression of statistics and performance. That is, until Mark Hale took it upon himself to bring everyone up to speed. Now, I've been known to rip Mark Hale in the past. However, he earns a big notch on his SABR belt for his article on Sunday.

Eschewing the traditional, anecdotal defensive evaluatories like "he has a great arm" and "I know what I see", and even less complex defensive metrics like zone rating and range factor, Hale dives right into Mitchel Lichtman's (aka MGL) UZR (Ultimate Zone Rating). Check out this article and this article for a detailed explanation of Lichtman's methodologies.

While some sabermetric tools (like OPS) have found their way onto the airwaves of ESPN and even onto the backs of Topps cards, Mark Hale has taken a huge step forward by writing an actual article featuring something as bold as UZR. I commend Mark and the Post for taking this leap of faith, and I can only hope that the response is positive and that this inspires other writers to include more advanced metrics in their work.



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